Swiss bank UBS exceeds profit forecasts as Iran war stokes market volatility

Holly Hanna
4 Min Read

Swiss bank UBS (UBSG.S), opens new tab reported better-than-expected first-quarter net profit on Wednesday, helped by record ‌trading revenue amid market turbulence triggered by the Iran war.

Days after Switzerland published a banking bill that could require it to find an extra $20 billion in core capital, UBS posted net profit of $3.0 billion in the first quarter of 2026, up 80% year-on-year and beating an ​average estimate of $2.3 billion in a company-provided poll of analysts.

Revenue in the UBS investment banking division jumped 27% ​year-on-year, boosted by an all-time high in its trading arm, with record income in the ⁠bank’s equities and foreign exchange, rates and credit businesses.

Underlying revenue in the investment bank’s M&A and IPO advisory section ​was also up, helped by a standout quarter in equity capital markets, the bank said.

In global wealth management, underlying transaction-based income ​rose 17%. The division attracted net new assets of $37 billion with positive flows across all regions.

Inflows of $5.3 billion in the Americas marked a turnaround after wealth outflows in this key growth market clouded a profit jump in the previous quarter.

Markets have remained broadly resilient so far ​in the second quarter, reflecting expectations that a durable diplomatic solution to the Iran war is achievable, UBS said in ​a statement.

However, risks are elevated and conditions could change quickly, which may affect client sentiment, it added.

‘ENCOURAGING SET OF RESULTS’ – CITI ANALYSTS

UBS ‌reasserted its ⁠intention to repurchase at least $3 billion of shares in 2026, saying it was on track to do so by the end of July and aimed to do more by year-end, depending on visibility of parliamentary deliberations on capital rules.

“Overall an encouraging set of results, albeit we expect focus will once again be on the Swiss capital proposals and what this ​means for future buybacks,” Citi ​analysts said in a ⁠note.

A stricter Swiss banking bill aims to prevent a repeat of the traumatic collapse of Credit Suisse, which UBS acquired in a state-engineered emergency takeover in 2023.

The Swiss government last ​week granted UBS concessions but stuck to its key demand that the bank fully capitalise its ​foreign units, ⁠an item on which parliament is the final arbiter.

UBS will continue to engage constructively on Swiss capital rules, CEO Sergio Ermotti said. “These developments do not, and will not, change who we are as a firm.”

The bank is on track to complete integration ⁠of Credit ​Suisse by year-end, unlocking potential for further growth and efficiency gains, UBS ​said.

Integration-related expenses dropped in the first quarter and an additional $800 million in cost reductions brought total cumulative savings to $11.5 billion, it added. UBS cut staffing ​levels by about 1,500 full-time employees in the first quarter.

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